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Vivek Katju writes: How Canada can undo Justin Trudeau’s damage to bilateral ties with India

09 Jan 2025
2 min

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Canadian Political Crisis: Trudeau's Resignation and Its Repercussions

Resignation of Deputy Prime Minister and Political Turmoil

Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland resigned on December 16, signaling a significant shift in Canadian politics as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's position weakened. Trudeau faced immense pressure, not just from the opposition but within his party as well, amidst a paralyzed parliament, declining popularity due to economic issues, and public disapproval of immigration policies.

Challenges from the Opposition and External Pressures

  • The opposition Conservative party gained a substantial lead over the Liberals, with some polls indicating a 20% advantage.
  • US President-elect Donald Trump threatened to impose 25% tariffs on Canadian exports unless Canada halted immigrant and drug flows to the US.
  • Trudeau's lack of response to Trump's derisive comments about Canadian sovereignty further weakened his position.

Trudeau's Resignation and Leadership Succession

On January 6, under mounting pressure, Trudeau announced his resignation, stating he would remain in office until a new leader was elected by his party. The Liberal Party now faces the task of electing a successor, with potential candidates including:

  • Chrystia Freeland
  • Foreign Minister Melanie Joly
  • Transport Minister Anita Anand
  • Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc
  • Former Central Banker Mark Carney

Freeland is currently seen as a strong contender, but the party must choose a leader quickly to face the formidable challenge from the Conservatives led by Pierre Poilievre.

Impact on Canada-India Relations

Trudeau's tenure saw strained relations with India, exacerbated by his handling of the Hardeep Singh Nijjar case. His comments in the Canadian Parliament regarding India's alleged involvement without conclusive evidence led to diplomatic tensions.

  • India dismissed Canada's accusations and requested a reduction in Canadian diplomatic presence; 41 diplomats were recalled in October 2023.
  • Trudeau's approach, appealing to domestic pro-Khalistan supporters, was criticized for ignoring Indian concerns about criminals and separatists operating on Canadian soil.

Future Prospects and Diplomatic Challenges

Trudeau's successors will inherit a challenging political landscape, with the task of mending relations with India while contending with domestic issues and pressures from the US. The Nijjar case is expected to continue influencing bilateral ties, overshadowing potential improvements.

Although India has a significant diaspora in Canada, bilateral relations have not been a priority for India due to past grievances, including the handling of the Kanishka bombing and visa issues.

India hopes Trudeau's successors will reverse the diplomatic damage, although domestic priorities and Trump-related challenges may impede progress. ``` 

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