India's Perspective on Ukraine Negotiations

The current negotiations between the United States and Russia over Ukraine's future, excluding Ukraine itself, remind India of its own historical experiences. This situation parallels the colonial arrogance observed during the Partition of India in 1947 when Britain drew arbitrary borders, disregarding the human and geopolitical consequences.

Historical Context and Lessons

• The exclusion of Ukraine from negotiations depicts the historical injustice similar to India’s experience during its partition.
• Big powers often dictate the destinies of smaller nations, undermining their sovereignty and rights to self-determination.
• Peace deals lacking justice tend to reward aggression rather than establish lasting stability.

Case Study: Afghanistan and the Trump Administration

• The so-called "peace deal" by the Trump administration in Afghanistan was essentially a withdrawal agreement that empowered the Taliban, erasing two decades of progress.
• This approach abandoned Afghan democracy and freedoms, especially for women, minorities, and dissidents.

Current Situation: Ukraine

• Trump’s approach to Russia-Ukraine negotiations is seen as capitulation, offering pre-emptive concessions to Russia and excluding Ukraine from key decisions.
• This exclusion is perceived as a geopolitical surrender that would make Ukraine vulnerable and weaken Europe.

India’s Strategic Response

• BRICS, IBSA, SCO: India should push for Ukraine's involvement in negotiations through these forums.
• Gulf Relations: Leverage ties with Saudi Arabia and the UAE to insist on Ukraine's inclusion in all peace talks.
• Global Forums: Use platforms like the UN General Assembly and Security Council to oppose any settlement that undermines Ukraine’s sovereignty.
• Trade and Arms Leverage: Utilize trade ties and arms purchases from Russia and the West to advocate for a fair settlement.

Conclusion

A peace deal that excludes justice, accountability, and strategic security is merely a temporary pause before another conflict. Conceding Ukrainian territory to Russia could lay the groundwork for a prolonged conflict, similar to the Indo-Pakistani tensions post-Partition. India, with its history of colonial injustice, cannot support peace deals that disadvantage smaller nations.

The world must ensure Ukraine’s voice is included to prevent repeating historical mistakes, avoiding a future of conflict and instability.