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Spring Thaw, But Peace is Still Far Off

21 Mar 2025
2 min

Current Situation in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict

While spring signals a potential shift, it may not significantly alter the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

Recent Developments

  • Peace Efforts: Some progress was made with Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy agreeing not to target each other's energy installations.
  • Setbacks: Despite this, reports emerged of Russia bombing Ukrainian civilian infrastructure shortly after a call between Putin and Trump.

Russia's Strategic Moves

  • Slow-Walking Talks: Putin appears to be delaying negotiations to gain more leverage, aiming to normalize relations with the US and ease sanctions.
  • Ministerial Talks: These are set to resume over the weekend, with Russia betting on the US losing patience and pushing Ukraine for concessions.

US Involvement

  • Military Aid: Trump did not agree to cease military aid and intelligence support for Ukraine, but did not completely dismiss Putin's demands either.
  • New Proposal: Trump proposed a potential US acquisition of Ukraine's power plants, including nuclear facilities, as a protective measure.

Critical Issues for Future Talks

  • Security Guarantees: Talks must address security assurances for Ukraine and the status of territories seized by Russia.
  • Collaborative Approach: Ukraine must collaborate with European allies and other stakeholders to formulate a plan ensuring its sovereignty.

Until comprehensive talks occur, particularly involving Europe, enduring peace remains an unattained ideal.

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