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S8 tension: cosmologists can’t agree on how clumpy the universe is

01 May 2025
2 min

Cosmology and the Universe's Clumpiness

Recent research in cosmology suggests that understanding the clumpiness of the universe could unveil its fundamental nature. The "Big Bang" theory posits that the universe began 13.8 billion years ago and expanded, forming galaxies, star clusters, and solar systems.

The Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB)

  • The CMB is the radiation left over from the Big Bang, providing a smooth glow across the sky.
  • Initial uniformity with minor density variations (one part in 100,000) was observed when the universe was 380,000 years old.
  • The current lumpy structure of the universe results from gravitational forces pulling different matter chunks together, including dark matter.

Lambda Cold Dark Matter (ΛCDM) Model

  • This model suggests dark matter and dark energy comprise about 95% of the universe.
  • These components influence the evolution of primordial fluctuations into large-scale structures.

Sigma 8 (S8) and the 'S8 Tension'

  • S8 quantifies matter clustering, calculated by studying regions of the universe defined by 26-million-light-year length scales.
  • A higher S8 value indicates more clustering, while a lower one suggests uniform matter distribution.
  • The 'S8 tension' arises from different measurement methods producing varying S8 estimates.

Research and Findings

  • Galaxy surveys utilize cosmic shear (distortion in galaxy shapes due to gravitational forces) to determine S8.
  • The Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) on the Subaru Telescope measured S8 as 0.747, consistent with previous surveys.
  • Despite reaffirming the ΛCDM model, the 'S8 tension' persists due to discrepancies between survey findings and CMB data predictions.

Challenges and Future Prospects

  • One significant challenge is understanding galaxies' recession speeds, quantified by redshift, which remains uncertain due to faint galaxy spectra.
  • Data from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument suggests dark energy's influence, represented by lambda in the ΛCDM model, may be weakening, leading to potential universe deceleration.
  • The Rubin Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory will provide deeper insights, potentially requiring updates to the ΛCDM model.

As cosmologists seek to resolve these uncertainties, future surveys like the LSST aim to answer currently inconceivable questions about the universe's mysteries.

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