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Sense and caste census: Ambedkar's vision and the risk of reversal

07 May 2025
2 min

Analysis of Caste Census and Its Political Implications

The discourse around the caste census in India is complex, driven by political motives, historical contexts, and social implications. This analysis aims to dissect these elements and understand the potential outcomes of conducting such a census.

Political Dynamics and Motivations

  • Government's decision to conduct a caste census alongside the decennial census is believed to have support from the Other Backward Classes (OBC), who feel underrepresented in current estimates.

Potential Consequences of the Caste Census

  • Demand for expanding educational and job quotas is likely to rise once caste numbers are disclosed. Current reservations stand at nearly 60%, and this could increase to 70-75%.
  • Sub-quotas within quotas may emerge, with dominant castes seeking to protect their share of benefits, possibly leading to multiple sub-quotas for OBCs and Scheduled Castes (SCs).
  • Reservations might extend to the private sector, although small companies may be exempt and large companies could automate jobs to avoid compliance.

Impact on Social Structures and Identity

  • The caste system, viewed by many as oppressive, also serves as a form of social capital and group identity, complicating efforts to eliminate it.
  • While globalization and urbanization have disrupted traditional social ties, they have also heightened the importance of identities, with lower castes embracing their identity with pride.
  • Ambedkar's vision of annihilating caste has not achieved full success, primarily because caste provides a significant social identity beyond oppression.

Historical Context and Modern-Day Implications

  • The last comprehensive caste survey by the British in 1931 attempted to categorize castes into the Hindu varna system, leading to social upheaval as groups sought to elevate their status.
  • Today, efforts to inflate caste numbers could occur, risking conflicts among groups vying for increased representation and benefits.
  • Examples such as the Karnataka caste survey and the Manipur civil conflict illustrate the potential for unrest when caste numbers and classifications are contested.

Concluding Thoughts

While a caste census might not be inherently detrimental, it carries the risk of unintended consequences, including reinforcing caste identities. Nonetheless, it could also yield unexpected benefits, potentially akin to how demonetization spurred digital transactions in India. The outcome of the census will depend on how these dynamics play out in practice.

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