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India’s population reaches 146.39 crore, fertility rate drops below replacement level: UN report

11 Jun 2025
2 min

Demographic Indicators in the UN Population Report for 2025

The latest United Nations demographic report provides a comprehensive overview of India's population dynamics as of 2025.

Population Estimates

  • Current Population: India's population is estimated at 146.39 crore as of April 2025.
  • Future Projection: Expected to reach 170 crore before declining in 40 years.
  • Comparison with China: India's population surpasses China's, with China at 141.61 crore.

Fertility Rate

  • Total Fertility Rate (TFR): Declined to 1.9, below the replacement level of 2.1.
  • Replacement Level TFR: Necessary for each generation to replace the previous one.
  • Current Crisis: Many cannot achieve their desired fertility goals, indicating a crisis of reproductive agency.

Census and TFR Statistics

  • Delayed Census: Originally due in 2021, now scheduled for completion by March 2027.
  • Sample Registration System Report (2021): Confirms a TFR of 2.0.

Population Demographics

  • Youth Population:
    • 0-14 years: 24%
    • 10-19 years: 17%
    • 10-24 years: 26%
  • Working Age Population (15-64 years): 68%
  • Elderly Population (65+ years): 7%, expected to rise as life expectancy improves.

Life Expectancy

  • Projected Life Expectancy at Birth (2025):
    • Men: 71 years
    • Women: 74 years

Data Sources

The report's statistical data is drawn from various sources:

  • Nationally representative household surveys like Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS).
  • Estimates from United Nations organizations and inter-agency collaborations.
  • World Population Prospects and Model-based Estimates and Projections of Family Planning Indicators (2024 revision).

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