Global Economic Outlook
The World Economic Forum's latest report highlights a modest improvement in the global economic landscape, though uncertainty prevails due to various factors such as asset valuations, mounting debt, geo-economic shifts, and the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI).
Key Findings
- 53% of chief economists foresee weakening global economic conditions, down from 72% in September 2025.
- South Asia, with India leading, is seen as the brightest growth region.
- India's economy reflects 8.2% year-on-year real GDP growth in the September quarter, despite facing trade headwinds.
- Inflation expectations are reducing in South Asia, with stable monetary and fiscal policies predicted.
Sector Specific Insights
- AI adoption is expected to boost growth, with 36% of economists foreseeing significant positive impacts.
- In the IT sector, AI is anticipated to drive productivity gains rapidly.
- Other sectors such as financial services, healthcare, and retail are labeled as 'fast-movers' in AI adoption.
- Cryptocurrencies are predicted to face further declines, and gold is expected to stabilize after recent peaks.
Regional Growth Expectations
- 66% of economists predict strong growth in South Asia, buoyed by India.
- East Asia and the Pacific: 45% expect strong growth, 55% moderate growth.
- MENA Region: 36% expect strong growth, 64% moderate growth.
- United States: 69% expect moderate growth, a significant improvement from previous estimates.
- China: Mixed outlook with 47% expecting moderate growth.
- Europe: Weakest outlook with 53% expecting weak growth.
Long-term Expectations
- AI is expected to cause job losses initially, but new job creation is anticipated in the long run.
- Globally, governments and companies are urged to navigate uncertainty with agility and invest in growth fundamentals.