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India driving South Asia as world's brightest growth spot: WEF survey

17 Jan 2026
2 min

Global Economic Outlook

The World Economic Forum's latest report highlights a modest improvement in the global economic landscape, though uncertainty prevails due to various factors such as asset valuations, mounting debt, geo-economic shifts, and the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI).

Key Findings

  • 53% of chief economists foresee weakening global economic conditions, down from 72% in September 2025.
  • South Asia, with India leading, is seen as the brightest growth region.
  • India's economy reflects 8.2% year-on-year real GDP growth in the September quarter, despite facing trade headwinds.
  • Inflation expectations are reducing in South Asia, with stable monetary and fiscal policies predicted.

Sector Specific Insights

  • AI adoption is expected to boost growth, with 36% of economists foreseeing significant positive impacts.
  • In the IT sector, AI is anticipated to drive productivity gains rapidly.
  • Other sectors such as financial services, healthcare, and retail are labeled as 'fast-movers' in AI adoption.
  • Cryptocurrencies are predicted to face further declines, and gold is expected to stabilize after recent peaks.

Regional Growth Expectations

  • 66% of economists predict strong growth in South Asia, buoyed by India.
  • East Asia and the Pacific: 45% expect strong growth, 55% moderate growth.
  • MENA Region: 36% expect strong growth, 64% moderate growth.
  • United States: 69% expect moderate growth, a significant improvement from previous estimates.
  • China: Mixed outlook with 47% expecting moderate growth.
  • Europe: Weakest outlook with 53% expecting weak growth.

Long-term Expectations

  • AI is expected to cause job losses initially, but new job creation is anticipated in the long run.
  • Globally, governments and companies are urged to navigate uncertainty with agility and invest in growth fundamentals.

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RELATED TERMS

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MENA Region

The MENA (Middle East and North Africa) region is a geographical and economic grouping of countries located in the Middle East and North Africa. It is often considered as a single entity in economic and geopolitical analyses.

Monetary and fiscal policies

Monetary policy is action undertaken by a central bank to manipulate the money supply and credit conditions to stimulate or restrain economic activity. Fiscal policy refers to the use of government spending and taxation to influence the economy.

IT sector

The Information Technology (IT) sector encompasses companies involved in the development, maintenance, and management of software, hardware, and related services, including telecommunications and the internet.

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