International Developments and New Doctrines

The beginning of 2026 was marked by the reassertion of the over two-century-old Monroe Doctrine, which has been redefined under U.S. President Donald Trump as the 'Donroe Doctrine'. In a stark move, U.S. airborne troops abducted Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, citing threats to U.S. security, emphasizing a new era of U.S. influence in the Western Hemisphere.

Global Reactions and Implications

• The global response to this breach of Venezuelan sovereignty has been muted, suggesting a belief that the post-1945 international order is effectively over.
• Concerns are rising that other major powers like China and Russia might undertake similar actions in their respective spheres of influence, like China's claim over Taiwan.
• The U.S. National Security Strategy of 2025 indicates a strategic plan to reclaim dominance in the Western Hemisphere and prevent non-regional powers from gaining a foothold.

U.S. Relations with Europe and Global Politics

• The U.S. criticized Europe for losing its geopolitical influence, hinting at a future where Europe must take greater responsibility for its defense.
• Potential resolution of the Ukraine conflict seems likely but may not satisfy all parties, risking further escalation in Europe.

Regional Conflicts and Security Concerns

Middle East Dynamics

• Although Israel's military actions have paused, peace remains fragile with high tensions in Gaza.
• Iran faces internal upheaval, compounded by external threats from Israel and the U.S. seeking to destabilize its regime further.

South Asia and Pakistan’s Position

• Afghanistan and Pakistan face increasing terrorism threats as groups like the Tehreek-e-Taliban gain momentum.
• Pakistan's democracy is under threat, with military influence overshadowing the government, though it finds favor with the U.S. through military aid.

China's Strategic Movements

China has managed to leverage its economic position despite ongoing tensions with the U.S. It has fortified its influence in Southeast Asia and the Indian Ocean, challenging U.S. supremacy in these regions.

India's Geopolitical Challenges

• India faces diplomatic challenges, especially with the U.S. due to its Russian oil imports and strained relations impacting its ties in conflict zones like West Asia.
• While initiatives like I2U2 and the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor progress, India struggles against China's tactical economic advantages.

Threat of Terrorism

Terrorism remains a constant threat globally, with regions like West Asia and Africa experiencing heightened insurgent activities. Despite potential avoidance of major attacks, terrorism is assessed as a pressing national security concern for 2026.