India-Taliban Relations
India is moving closer to the Taliban, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi reportedly allowing the Taliban regime to appoint a new envoy for its embassy in New Delhi. This follows a high-level meeting in January between India's Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri and the Taliban’s acting ‘Foreign Minister’ Amir Khan Muttaqi in Dubai.
Significance of Diplomatic Engagement
- India reopened its embassy in Kabul in June 2022, nearly a year after the Taliban took over Afghanistan.
- Accepting a Taliban diplomat would signify a de facto recognition of the regime, a move most countries avoid due to the Taliban's oppressive policies towards women.
Global Perspective and Strategic Interests
- While China has already accepted a Taliban envoy and invested in Afghan infrastructure, India sees an opportunity to assert influence in Afghanistan.
- India’s engagement also aims to counter Pakistan’s historical influence over the Taliban, as relations between Pakistan and the Taliban have soured.
Risks and Challenges
- Afghanistan remains a hub for terrorism, with the Islamic State (IS) actively conducting attacks, including against Taliban and allied interests.
- The Taliban is suspected of supporting terror groups like the Tehrik-e Taliban, leading to tensions with Pakistan.
- India has a history of terrorism and must consider the risks before further engaging with the Taliban.
Conclusion
India needs to weigh the benefits of strategic influence in Afghanistan against the risks of terrorism and instability. Historical lessons from China and Pakistan's experiences with the Taliban might caution New Delhi against deep involvement with the current Afghan regime.
