India-US Trade and Security Dynamics

Trade has historically been a challenging aspect of the India-US relationship, with previous US administrations often focusing on it. Despite these challenges, the partnership has thrived primarily due to shared security concerns, notably the mutual threat posed by China.

Shared Security Concerns

• China's Strategic Role: China's growing strength as a competitor to the US and its military collaboration with Pakistan pose significant threats to both India and the US.
• US-Pakistan Relations: The US has prioritized relations with Pakistan, which conflicts with its broader security priorities, such as the strategic importance of Taiwan.

India's Strategic Defence Approach

• The path forward for India involves strengthening security convergences with the US, particularly in defense. 
• A key aspect is the shift from Russian to US military procurements.
  • F-35 and S-400 Dynamics: The US has been hesitant to offer F-35s to India due to India's possession of the Russian S-400 missile defense system.
  • Predator Drones: The US reversed its stance on selling armed Predator drones to India, finalizing a $4 billion deal for MQ-9B drones.
  • Procurement Delays: India has faced price increases, such as with the P-8I Poseidon aircraft, due to procurement delays.

Strategic Cooperation and Challenges

• Emergency Procurements: Post-Galwan clashes, India has accelerated emergency procurements from the US.
• Foreign Military Sales (FMS): The US FMS program provides political cushioning and governmental backing for military sales to India.

Geopolitical Considerations

• US-Russia Relations: India hopes for US-Russia dialogue to resolve sanctions impacting its oil purchases from Russia.
• Defense and Security Cooperation: Despite challenges, defense remains a crucial area of convergence between India and the US.
• Diplomatic Support: The US's designation of The Resistance Front as a terrorist organization supports India's security concerns.