Global Carbon Emissions and Climate Change

Global carbon emissions are projected to reach a record high by the end of 2025, as highlighted in a study released during COP 30 in Brazil.

Key Findings

• The United States recorded the highest increase in emissions over 2024 at 1.9%.
• India's emissions grew by 1.4%, with China and the EU both at 0.4%.

Emissions Trends

• Emissions from India and China grew more slowly due to large-scale deployment of renewable energy.
• India's electricity-sector emissions declined in the first half of the year compared to 2024.
• The average growth of GHG emissions in India reduced from 6.4% (2004-2015) to 3.6% (2015-2024).
• The US showed a reversal of its nearly two-decade-long downward emissions trend.

Global Carbon Project Report

• The report underscores that current decarbonization efforts are insufficient to mitigate global warming impacts.
• Renewables have surpassed coal as the leading electricity source, yet fossil-fuel deployment continues due to high energy demand.

Future Projections and Warnings

• Global emissions may stabilize and decline by around 2030.
• This decline may not suffice to meet the Paris Climate Pact's 1.5-degree temperature rise target.
• At the current emission rate, the world risks depleting the carbon budget for the Paris Pact's threshold.
• Another report indicates a trajectory towards a 2.6-degree temperature increase.

Call to Action at COP 30

Negotiators at COP 30 are urged to devise a roadmap for clean energy use and increase investments in safeguarding lives and livelihoods against climate change impacts.