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Complementarity sans capability: Limits of India's trade strategy

27 Apr 2026
2 min

India-South Korea Trade Relations

The recent visit of the South Korean President to India resulted in multiple agreements across various sectors like trade, energy, technology, digital security, and more, aiming to enhance bilateral trade significantly.

  • Target: Double bilateral trade from $27 billion to $54 billion by 2030.
  • Agreements need to be backed by firm-level decisions and domestic regulatory alignment to be effective.

Economic Context of South Korea and Japan

Both South Korea and Japan are developed economies with significant outward orientation in trade and investments, contributing hugely to their GDP.

  • South Korea's per capita GDP: $36,000.
  • Japan's per capita GDP: $34,000.
  • Trade accounts for 70-75% of South Korea’s GDP and 45-47% of Japan’s GDP.
  • Both countries exhibit high R&D intensity and expertise in strategic technology domains.

Trade Agreements with India

India has trade agreements with both South Korea (since 2009) and Japan (since 2011), which have liberalized tariffs significantly.

  • India reduced tariffs on over 85% of tariff lines.
  • South Korea and Japan eliminated duties on 90-95% of goods over time.
  • India faces trade deficits of $12-13 billion with Japan and $14-15 billion with South Korea.

Challenges and Opportunities

Despite improved market access, India faces internal challenges that hinder taking full advantage of trade agreements.

  • Challenges: Uneven product quality, logistics inefficiency, and lack of integration into global value chains.
  • Japan and South Korea benefit due to strong manufacturing ecosystems and advanced technology.
  • Developed economies are attracted by India's growing market but possess stronger firms and better technology.

Conclusion

Trade agreements are necessary but not sufficient for economic gains. India must enhance domestic capabilities in manufacturing, export orientation, and regulatory efficiency to benefit from such agreements.

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Manufacturing Ecosystems

The interconnected network of businesses, suppliers, institutions, and infrastructure that support manufacturing activities within a region or country. A strong ecosystem facilitates efficient production and innovation.

Global Value Chains (GVCs)

The full range of activities required to bring a product or service from conception to final consumption. The EPM aims to support MSME exporters' integration into GVCs, enhancing their participation in international trade.

Trade Deficit

A situation where a country imports more goods and services than it exports. It is the opposite of a trade surplus.

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