UN Environment Program releases report titled “Limiting Overshoot” | Current Affairs | Vision IAS

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ESC

In Summary

  • Global warming is projected to exceed 1.5°C due to ongoing high emissions, with current policies leading to a peak temperature rise of 1.8°C to over 2°C.
  • Overshooting 1.5°C intensifies extreme weather, risks irreversible tipping points like ice sheet collapse, and causes significant socioeconomic losses, including threats to SIDS and reduced food production.
  • The way forward involves deep mitigation of emissions, transformational adaptation, and responsible scaling of Carbon Dioxide Removal to achieve net-negative emissions.

In Summary

The report highlights that Global warming is set to overshoot 1.5°C in the coming years due to high ongoing emissions.

  • Current national policies and pledges project global peak temperatures reaching 1.8°C to over 2°C.

About Overshoot

  • Climate "overshoot" is a multidecadal pathway where global warming temporarily exceeds 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels before declining back below that limit.
    • This is by no means an acceptable or preferred pathway; it is simply the best remaining option.

Key Highlights of the Report

  • Severe Impacts: Overshooting 1.5°C intensifies extreme heatwaves, wildfires, droughts, and sea-level rise.
  • Tipping Points: Higher warming increases risks of irreversible damage, including ice sheet collapse, Amazon rainforest dieback, and Atlantic ocean circulation disruption.
  • Socioeconomic Losses: Overshooting 1.5°C threatens Small Island Developing States (SIDS) habitability, impairs water security, and could reduce global food production by up to 14% by 2050.

Way Forward

  • Deep Mitigation: Deliver immediate, rapid cuts to CO₂ and short-lived pollutants like methane to cap peak warming.
  • Transformational Adaptation: Advance adaptation hand-in-hand with mitigation to protect vulnerable populations and ecosystems.
  • Carbon Removal (CDR): Responsibly scale Carbon Dioxide Removal to achieve net-negative emissions, ensuring it complements rather than replaces direct emissions reductions.
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Carbon Removal (CDR)

Carbon Removal refers to technologies and practices that remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, aiming to achieve net-negative emissions. It is considered a complement to, not a substitute for, direct emissions reductions.

Transformational Adaptation

Transformational adaptation involves fundamental changes in societal systems and practices to cope with the unavoidable impacts of climate change, going beyond incremental adjustments. It emphasizes protecting vulnerable populations and ecosystems.

Deep Mitigation

Deep mitigation refers to immediate and significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, including both carbon dioxide (CO₂) and short-lived climate pollutants like methane, to limit peak global warming.

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