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In Summary

  • RBI's Financial Stability Report highlights sustainable sovereign debt, AI optimism masking vulnerabilities, and fintech lending risks with elevated impairments.
  • Report warns foreign stablecoins could threaten India's monetary sovereignty and facilitate money laundering.
  • Scheduled Commercial Banks show robust capital buffers with GNPA ratio declining to a multi-decadal low of 2.2% as of Sept 2025.

In Summary

FSR is a biannual publication (June and December) by RBI that incorporates inputs from Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC) subcommittee on current and emerging risks to the stability of Indian financial system.

Key Highlights of Report:

  • Fiscal Health: Sovereign debt remains sustainable, supported by an S&P rating upgrade to 'BBB', favorable interest rate-growth differential and low level of foreign currency liabilities.
  • AI Optimism: While markets are buoyed by Artificial Intelligence prospects, this optimism may mask underlying vulnerabilities and susceptibility to global spillovers.
  • Fintech Risks: Lending in the fintech sector grew by 36.1%, but the RBI flagged concerns regarding elevated impairment among borrowers who have taken unsecured loans from five or more lenders.
  • Stablecoins: The report warns that the widespread adoption of foreign-currency-denominated stablecoins could undermine India's monetary sovereignty, weaken policy transmission, and facilitate money laundering.
  • Currency Performance: The Indian rupee experienced depreciation against the US dollar, influenced by falling terms of trade, higher tariffs compared to trading partners, and a slowdown in capital flows.
  • Banking Health: Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs) maintain robust capital buffers; notably, the GNPA ratio declined to a multi-decadal low of 2.2% as of September 2025.

About the Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC):

  • Nature: Apex, non-statutory council under the Ministry of Finance established in 2010 to strengthen financial stability mechanisms. 
  • Composition: Chaired by the Union Finance Minister with members including the RBI Governor, heads of SEBI, IRDAI, PFRDA, IBBI etc. along with several government secretaries and Chief Economic Adviser.
  • Functions: Coordinates macro-prudential supervision, promotes inter-regulatory coordination, financial sector development, inclusion and literacy. 
  • FSDC Sub-Committee: Chaired by the RBI Governor; provides inputs to FSR and deliberates on systemic risks.
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RELATED TERMS

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Macro-prudential supervision

Supervision that focuses on the stability of the financial system as a whole, rather than just individual institutions. The FSDC coordinates efforts to strengthen this type of supervision.

GNPA ratio

Gross Non-Performing Assets ratio, which is the percentage of total loans that have become non-performing (i.e., borrowers have defaulted on payments). A decline in the GNPA ratio signifies improved asset quality and financial health of banks.

Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs)

Banks that are included in the Second Schedule of the RBI Act, 1934. These banks are subject to certain regulations and can carry out banking business in India. Examples include public sector banks, private sector banks, and foreign banks.

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